All three tools use one model taken from the game's stated 97% return: the chance a round
reaches a multiplier is 97 divided by that multiplier.
Cash-out calculator
You get backKSh100
ProfitKSh50
Chance to reach it48.5%
About 49 rounds in 100 reach 2.00x. In the rest this stake is lost.
How often a round reaches each multiplier
1.5x65%
2x48%
5x19%
10x9.7%
50x1.9%
100x1.0%
About 3 rounds in 100 end at 1.00x, where every bet loses.
Test an auto cash-out over 1,000 rounds
Rounds won–
Net result–
Returned–
Press the button to run 1,000 simulated rounds and plot the balance.
Kenya
Worked examples in KES
This calculator opens at a 50 shilling bet. It works out the bet and not the cost of moving money: mobile money charges, where they apply to a deposit or a withdrawal, are not part of these figures.
A KSh20 bet cashed out at 1.5x returns KSh30, a profit of KSh10. A round gets that far 65% of the time.
A KSh50 bet cashed out at 2x returns KSh100, a profit of KSh50. A round gets that far 48% of the time.
A KSh200 bet cashed out at 5x returns KSh1,000, a profit of KSh800. A round gets that far 19% of the time.
A KSh200 bet cashed out at 10x returns KSh2,000, a profit of KSh1,800. A round gets that far 9.7% of the time.
Each example has the same expected return of 97%. On a KSh50 bet that is an average cost of KSh1.5 per round, whichever line you pick.
The numbers
Aviator odds: the chance of reaching each multiplier
With a 97% return, the chance that a round reaches a multiplier is 97 divided by that multiplier.
A 2.00x cash-out is reached in 48.5% of rounds, not half of them. That missing 1.5% is the house
edge, and it is in every row of the table below.
Cash out at
Chance to reach it
How often
Profit on a KSh50 stake
Expected result per 100 rounds
1.2x
81%
about 1 in 1.2
KSh10
−KSh150
1.5x
65%
about 1 in 1.5
KSh25
−KSh150
2x
48%
about 1 in 2.1
KSh50
−KSh150
3x
32%
about 1 in 3.1
KSh100
−KSh150
5x
19%
about 1 in 5.2
KSh200
−KSh150
10x
9.7%
about 1 in 10
KSh450
−KSh150
20x
4.9%
about 1 in 21
KSh950
−KSh150
50x
1.9%
about 1 in 52
KSh2,450
−KSh150
100x
1.0%
about 1 in 103
KSh4,950
−KSh150
Read the last column twice. Whatever multiplier you pick, 100 rounds at a KSh50 stake are
expected to cost KSh150 . A low target wins often and pays little. A high target wins rarely
and pays a lot. The long-run cost is the same 3% of everything you stake, which is why no choice of
cash-out point counts as a winning system.
What changes with the target is the ride. At 1.20x you win about four rounds in five and losses
come in ones and twos. At 10x you win about one round in ten and can easily sit through twenty
losing rounds first. Pick the ride you can afford, not the one that sounds biggest.
What a session costs in KES
The 3% edge applies to everything you stake, so the expected cost of a session grows with the number of rounds, not with the multiplier you aim for. The table uses a KSh50 stake.
Session length
Total staked
Expected return
Expected cost
50 rounds
KSh2,500
KSh2,425
−KSh75
100 rounds
KSh5,000
KSh4,850
−KSh150
200 rounds
KSh10,000
KSh9,700
−KSh300
500 rounds
KSh25,000
KSh24,250
−KSh750
These are averages over many sessions. A single session can end well above or well below them. The reasoning behind the figures, and the losing-streak tables, are on the main calculator page.
FAQ
Aviator calculator: questions and answers
How much does a KSh50 bet return at 2x?
KSh100, which is a profit of KSh50. A round reaches 2.00x 48.5% of the time.
How much can a KSh200 bet win at 10x?
KSh2,000 back, a profit of KSh1,800. A round reaches 10x 9.7% of the time, which is about 1 round in 10.
Does the calculator use real shillings?
No. The calculator and the practice round show demo credits in shillings so the numbers look familiar. Nothing here can be deposited, won or withdrawn.
How we check
Operator details are the figures each site publishes, and a field we do not hold is marked
“Not confirmed”. Regulator, law and age limits come from the authority's own material.
The odds, the calculator and the simulator all come from the provider's stated 97% return.
Rounds this fast make it easy to bet more than you planned. Set a deposit limit before your first real
round, never chase a loss, and stop when it stops being fun.
