All three tools use one model taken from the game's stated 97% return: the chance a round
reaches a multiplier is 97 divided by that multiplier.
Cash-out calculator
You get back₦1,000
Profit₦500
Chance to reach it48.5%
About 49 rounds in 100 reach 2.00x. In the rest this stake is lost.
How often a round reaches each multiplier
1.5x65%
2x48%
5x19%
10x9.7%
50x1.9%
100x1.0%
About 3 rounds in 100 end at 1.00x, where every bet loses.
Test an auto cash-out over 1,000 rounds
Rounds won–
Net result–
Returned–
Press the button to run 1,000 simulated rounds and plot the balance.
Nigeria
Worked examples in NGN
This calculator opens at a 500 naira bet. It works out the bet itself and nothing else. If your bank or card adds a charge to a deposit, that charge sits outside these figures, and so does any wagering rule attached to a bonus.
A ₦200 bet cashed out at 1.5x returns ₦300, a profit of ₦100. A round gets that far 65% of the time.
A ₦500 bet cashed out at 2x returns ₦1,000, a profit of ₦500. A round gets that far 48% of the time.
A ₦2,000 bet cashed out at 5x returns ₦10,000, a profit of ₦8,000. A round gets that far 19% of the time.
A ₦2,000 bet cashed out at 10x returns ₦20,000, a profit of ₦18,000. A round gets that far 9.7% of the time.
Each example has the same expected return of 97%. On a ₦500 bet that is an average cost of ₦15 per round, whichever line you pick.
The numbers
Aviator odds: the chance of reaching each multiplier
With a 97% return, the chance that a round reaches a multiplier is 97 divided by that multiplier.
A 2.00x cash-out is reached in 48.5% of rounds, not half of them. That missing 1.5% is the house
edge, and it is in every row of the table below.
Cash out at
Chance to reach it
How often
Profit on a ₦500 stake
Expected result per 100 rounds
1.2x
81%
about 1 in 1.2
₦100
−₦1,500
1.5x
65%
about 1 in 1.5
₦250
−₦1,500
2x
48%
about 1 in 2.1
₦500
−₦1,500
3x
32%
about 1 in 3.1
₦1,000
−₦1,500
5x
19%
about 1 in 5.2
₦2,000
−₦1,500
10x
9.7%
about 1 in 10
₦4,500
−₦1,500
20x
4.9%
about 1 in 21
₦9,500
−₦1,500
50x
1.9%
about 1 in 52
₦24,500
−₦1,500
100x
1.0%
about 1 in 103
₦49,500
−₦1,500
Read the last column twice. Whatever multiplier you pick, 100 rounds at a ₦500 stake are
expected to cost ₦1,500 . A low target wins often and pays little. A high target wins rarely
and pays a lot. The long-run cost is the same 3% of everything you stake, which is why no choice of
cash-out point counts as a winning system.
What changes with the target is the ride. At 1.20x you win about four rounds in five and losses
come in ones and twos. At 10x you win about one round in ten and can easily sit through twenty
losing rounds first. Pick the ride you can afford, not the one that sounds biggest.
What a session costs in NGN
The 3% edge applies to everything you stake, so the expected cost of a session grows with the number of rounds, not with the multiplier you aim for. The table uses a ₦500 stake.
Session length
Total staked
Expected return
Expected cost
50 rounds
₦25,000
₦24,250
−₦750
100 rounds
₦50,000
₦48,500
−₦1,500
200 rounds
₦100,000
₦97,000
−₦3,000
500 rounds
₦250,000
₦242,500
−₦7,500
These are averages over many sessions. A single session can end well above or well below them. The reasoning behind the figures, and the losing-streak tables, are on the main calculator page.
FAQ
Aviator calculator: questions and answers
How much does a ₦500 bet return at 2x?
₦1,000, which is a profit of ₦500. A round reaches 2.00x 48.5% of the time.
How much can a ₦2,000 bet win at 10x?
₦20,000 back, a profit of ₦18,000. A round reaches 10x 9.7% of the time, which is about 1 round in 10.
Does the calculator use real naira?
No. The calculator and the practice round show demo credits in naira so the numbers look familiar. Nothing here can be deposited, won or withdrawn.
How we check
Operator details are the figures each site publishes, and a field we do not hold is marked
“Not confirmed”. Regulator, law and age limits come from the authority's own material.
The odds, the calculator and the simulator all come from the provider's stated 97% return.
Rounds this fast make it easy to bet more than you planned. Set a deposit limit before your first real
round, never chase a loss, and stop when it stops being fun.
