All three tools use one model taken from the game's stated 97% return: the chance a round
reaches a multiplier is 97 divided by that multiplier.
Cash-out calculator
You get backK10
ProfitK5
Chance to reach it48.5%
About 49 rounds in 100 reach 2.00x. In the rest this stake is lost.
How often a round reaches each multiplier
1.5x65%
2x48%
5x19%
10x9.7%
50x1.9%
100x1.0%
About 3 rounds in 100 end at 1.00x, where every bet loses.
Test an auto cash-out over 1,000 rounds
Rounds won–
Net result–
Returned–
Press the button to run 1,000 simulated rounds and plot the balance.
Zambia
Worked examples in ZMW
This calculator opens at a 5 kwacha bet. It works out the bet itself. Mobile money charges, where they apply to a deposit or a withdrawal, are not part of these figures.
A K2 bet cashed out at 1.5x returns K3, a profit of K1. A round gets that far 65% of the time.
A K5 bet cashed out at 2x returns K10, a profit of K5. A round gets that far 48% of the time.
A K20 bet cashed out at 5x returns K100, a profit of K80. A round gets that far 19% of the time.
A K20 bet cashed out at 10x returns K200, a profit of K180. A round gets that far 9.7% of the time.
Each example has the same expected return of 97%. On a K5 bet that is an average cost of K0.15 per round, whichever line you pick.
The numbers
Aviator odds: the chance of reaching each multiplier
With a 97% return, the chance that a round reaches a multiplier is 97 divided by that multiplier.
A 2.00x cash-out is reached in 48.5% of rounds, not half of them. That missing 1.5% is the house
edge, and it is in every row of the table below.
Cash out at
Chance to reach it
How often
Profit on a K5 stake
Expected result per 100 rounds
1.2x
81%
about 1 in 1.2
K1
−K15
1.5x
65%
about 1 in 1.5
K2.50
−K15
2x
48%
about 1 in 2.1
K5
−K15
3x
32%
about 1 in 3.1
K10
−K15
5x
19%
about 1 in 5.2
K20
−K15
10x
9.7%
about 1 in 10
K45
−K15
20x
4.9%
about 1 in 21
K95
−K15
50x
1.9%
about 1 in 52
K245
−K15
100x
1.0%
about 1 in 103
K495
−K15
Read the last column twice. Whatever multiplier you pick, 100 rounds at a K5 stake are
expected to cost K15 . A low target wins often and pays little. A high target wins rarely
and pays a lot. The long-run cost is the same 3% of everything you stake, which is why no choice of
cash-out point counts as a winning system.
What changes with the target is the ride. At 1.20x you win about four rounds in five and losses
come in ones and twos. At 10x you win about one round in ten and can easily sit through twenty
losing rounds first. Pick the ride you can afford, not the one that sounds biggest.
What a session costs in ZMW
The 3% edge applies to everything you stake, so the expected cost of a session grows with the number of rounds, not with the multiplier you aim for. The table uses a K5 stake.
Session length
Total staked
Expected return
Expected cost
50 rounds
K250
K242.50
−K7.50
100 rounds
K500
K485
−K15
200 rounds
K1,000
K970
−K30
500 rounds
K2,500
K2,425
−K75
These are averages over many sessions. A single session can end well above or well below them. The reasoning behind the figures, and the losing-streak tables, are on the main calculator page.
FAQ
Aviator calculator: questions and answers
How much does a K5 bet return at 2x?
K10, which is a profit of K5. A round reaches 2.00x 48.5% of the time.
How much can a K20 bet win at 10x?
K200 back, a profit of K180. A round reaches 10x 9.7% of the time, which is about 1 round in 10.
Does the calculator use real kwacha?
No. The calculator and the practice round show demo credits in kwacha so the numbers look familiar. Nothing here can be deposited, won or withdrawn.
How we check
Operator details are the figures each site publishes, and a field we do not hold is marked
“Not confirmed”. Regulator, law and age limits come from the authority's own material.
The odds, the calculator and the simulator all come from the provider's stated 97% return.
Rounds this fast make it easy to bet more than you planned. Set a deposit limit before your first real
round, never chase a loss, and stop when it stops being fun.
