All three tools use one model taken from the game's stated 97% return: the chance a round
reaches a multiplier is 97 divided by that multiplier.
Cash-out calculator
You get backTSh2,000
ProfitTSh1,000
Chance to reach it48.5%
About 49 rounds in 100 reach 2.00x. In the rest this stake is lost.
How often a round reaches each multiplier
1.5x65%
2x48%
5x19%
10x9.7%
50x1.9%
100x1.0%
About 3 rounds in 100 end at 1.00x, where every bet loses.
Test an auto cash-out over 1,000 rounds
Rounds won–
Net result–
Returned–
Press the button to run 1,000 simulated rounds and plot the balance.
Tanzania
Worked examples in TZS
This calculator opens at a 1,000 shilling bet. It works out the bet and not the cost of moving money, so mobile money charges, where they apply, are outside these figures.
A TSh500 bet cashed out at 1.5x returns TSh750, a profit of TSh250. A round gets that far 65% of the time.
A TSh1,000 bet cashed out at 2x returns TSh2,000, a profit of TSh1,000. A round gets that far 48% of the time.
A TSh5,000 bet cashed out at 5x returns TSh25,000, a profit of TSh20,000. A round gets that far 19% of the time.
A TSh5,000 bet cashed out at 10x returns TSh50,000, a profit of TSh45,000. A round gets that far 9.7% of the time.
Each example has the same expected return of 97%. On a TSh1,000 bet that is an average cost of TSh30 per round, whichever line you pick.
The numbers
Aviator odds: the chance of reaching each multiplier
With a 97% return, the chance that a round reaches a multiplier is 97 divided by that multiplier.
A 2.00x cash-out is reached in 48.5% of rounds, not half of them. That missing 1.5% is the house
edge, and it is in every row of the table below.
Cash out at
Chance to reach it
How often
Profit on a TSh1,000 stake
Expected result per 100 rounds
1.2x
81%
about 1 in 1.2
TSh200
−TSh3,000
1.5x
65%
about 1 in 1.5
TSh500
−TSh3,000
2x
48%
about 1 in 2.1
TSh1,000
−TSh3,000
3x
32%
about 1 in 3.1
TSh2,000
−TSh3,000
5x
19%
about 1 in 5.2
TSh4,000
−TSh3,000
10x
9.7%
about 1 in 10
TSh9,000
−TSh3,000
20x
4.9%
about 1 in 21
TSh19,000
−TSh3,000
50x
1.9%
about 1 in 52
TSh49,000
−TSh3,000
100x
1.0%
about 1 in 103
TSh99,000
−TSh3,000
Read the last column twice. Whatever multiplier you pick, 100 rounds at a TSh1,000 stake are
expected to cost TSh3,000 . A low target wins often and pays little. A high target wins rarely
and pays a lot. The long-run cost is the same 3% of everything you stake, which is why no choice of
cash-out point counts as a winning system.
What changes with the target is the ride. At 1.20x you win about four rounds in five and losses
come in ones and twos. At 10x you win about one round in ten and can easily sit through twenty
losing rounds first. Pick the ride you can afford, not the one that sounds biggest.
What a session costs in TZS
The 3% edge applies to everything you stake, so the expected cost of a session grows with the number of rounds, not with the multiplier you aim for. The table uses a TSh1,000 stake.
Session length
Total staked
Expected return
Expected cost
50 rounds
TSh50,000
TSh48,500
−TSh1,500
100 rounds
TSh100,000
TSh97,000
−TSh3,000
200 rounds
TSh200,000
TSh194,000
−TSh6,000
500 rounds
TSh500,000
TSh485,000
−TSh15,000
These are averages over many sessions. A single session can end well above or well below them. The reasoning behind the figures, and the losing-streak tables, are on the main calculator page.
FAQ
Aviator calculator: questions and answers
How much does a TSh1,000 bet return at 2x?
TSh2,000, which is a profit of TSh1,000. A round reaches 2.00x 48.5% of the time.
How much can a TSh5,000 bet win at 10x?
TSh50,000 back, a profit of TSh45,000. A round reaches 10x 9.7% of the time, which is about 1 round in 10.
Does the calculator use real Tanzanian shillings?
No. The calculator and the practice round show demo credits in Tanzanian shillings so the numbers look familiar. Nothing here can be deposited, won or withdrawn.
How we check
Operator details are the figures each site publishes, and a field we do not hold is marked
“Not confirmed”. Regulator, law and age limits come from the authority's own material.
The odds, the calculator and the simulator all come from the provider's stated 97% return.
Rounds this fast make it easy to bet more than you planned. Set a deposit limit before your first real
round, never chase a loss, and stop when it stops being fun.
